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Greenspan Predicts Recession Will Be Avoided

September 17, 2007
Alan Greenspan, the 81 year-old ex-federal bank chairman has been the talk show circuit to help publicize his recently published book of memoirs. Greenspan commented on the state of the American and global economy while on NBC's "Today" program.

Greenspan commented that he believes the US economy is not going to enter a recession. On the program he stated "The evidence so far, is not yet. The economy at this stage, despite this fiscal problem, despite the financial problem, is still holding up."

Alan Greenspan feels that more mortgage foreclosures in the US and abroad are inevitable. However, despite the sub-prime mortgage concerns he still believes the economy will avoid a recession.

In a separate interview with CNBC he commented that the Fed has to be very careful of allowing inflation to get out of control. He "The normal inflation level is closer to 5 percent than the current 2 percent," he noted, while saying that 5 percent is more typical of an economy who's currency is not fixed to the gold standard.

His comments on the economy come one day before the Fed's anticipated interest rate cut. The current federal funds rate of 5.25 percent is expected to drop by at least a quarter-percentage point tomorrow in response to a slow-down in the US economy.

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